The world after the pandemic: why the economic crisis is inevitable and how to wait for it correctly
'21.07.2020'
What's this, what's going on? Well, what, an old, eternal game, white - to the right, blue - to the left. Ready or not, here I come.
How is it in nature? The larger ones eat the smaller ones. Small - very tiny. There are, however, exceptions. A huge whale, for example, feeds on plankton. And that one is tiny, so you need to eat it a ton.
In general, - I managed to grow big - there is a chance. Didn't have time - you hide all the time, or fly away, or run away. Everywhere you lie in wait for someone big, hungry and therefore dangerous. The one for whom you are food. And nothing personal, just lunch time ...
When nature needs to shuffle the deck, it triggers a flood, a volcanic eruption, even a meteorite.
We humans have a very similar situation. Cards are being shuffled all the time. For thousands of years, slowly, slowly. But sometimes - a cataclysm occurs, such as a meteorite, flood or a large volcanic eruption, and everything turns upside down - on the one hand, and stands in advance prepared (which is implicit for most of the human species) places - on the other.
So what am I talking about?
To begin with, let's classify everyone for order. Let's arrange, that is, in places.
Very, very poor. They live on handouts from the state and other compassionate people, from whom money is squeezed. The suffering of the very, very poor is shown on TV and on the Internet. Ninety-five percent of what is collected (for unfortunate animals - the same picture) ends up in the pockets of crooks, which everyone probably knows about. The very, very poor live where they have to and do not always know where they will spend the night tomorrow. To collect and move, they need six seconds, take a knapsack and ready, since they have nothing. Moreover, despite the constant screams about the need to fight poverty, no one really wants to deal with them, because for those who can, they are just rubbish on the sidelines. Not very pleasing to the eye, but ... not a reason to stop your limousine, roll up the sleeves of an elegant suit and ... mess around in the mud ... But only if on camera and before the elections ...
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They are just poor. They have a similar situation, but still they have some simple belongings, including a roof over their heads. No, not a palace, but at least something ... Although sometimes this something causes confusion or even regret.
Not very poor. These already have some kind of nest, a home in the sun. Place of residence, food, clothing necessary. They work, but they do not have surpluses, and any inclination towards unforeseen expenses easily knocks them out of a rut.
Not poor. There are even savings, retirement plans, investments, real estate. These can live six to twelve months without income, wasting the deferred for a rainy day.
Rich. Here we see the villas and other attributes of involvement in the club held: Chanel, Prada, Gucci, and other Lambourgini. They have an apartment here and in Europe, and on an island, a house. They feel good, and all of the previous groups envy them, although this is not always shown. But they do not like much for their wealth. They even hate, although they never admit it. Politically, because it is incorrect. And what's the point ... Nevertheless, it's a shame, why not me? ..
The obscenely rich. The last group. Even if they smear their shoes with black caviar and throw away any thing, once they put it on, they will not be able to spend their money during their lifetime. They are not particularly interested in prices, as long as what they are selling is to their liking.
And now, having designated the participants, let's go through the scenario of what is happening. This pandemic, inflated of course, but the problem nevertheless exists, will reshuffle the deck very carefully. Millions of people from the group of not very poor will go down ... and even lower ...
From the group of the rich, someone will rise up, and the rest will be gradually distributed in all directions. Some of the wealthy will grow obscenely wealthy, as they often do in times of global turbulence. The middle ones - which in any country bear the economic burden and pay the main taxes to the treasury - will also not remain in place, but will migrate. A small part will remain in place. Most of them will go bankrupt and join their poor and very poor brothers, and a few who accidentally (or not by chance) found themselves in the right place at the right time, will jump upstairs, to where the private planes and Maseratti beams are. They will be greeted there with caution, but they will nevertheless be greeted, depicting a tortured expression of joy and greeting on their face.
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So what are we doing? In ten to twenty years the result of this reshuffling will be quite obvious. Most of all, as well as today, will be the poor. There will simply be a lot more of them. They are part of the system. They vote for those who feed them, on command they go out into the streets to smash what is necessary and, in general, are the vanguard of any government. They can be dangerous if a leader appears who will convince them that their troubles are not in the wealth accumulated by the rich (who need to be destroyed for this and take everything away from them), but in the state, which keeps them on a short leash and just throws the dice to cover their shame and not starve to death ...
And naturally - the question: what should we, ordinary people, do with this?
The answer is to think. And preferably a head.
Count yours, make an audit, determine which group you are in. Think about a rainy day. He, although slowly, is already approaching. How did you prepare for it? Can you stand, try to jump up, or fall down? Calculate the trend and figure out where you go? Somewhere - for sure. And then, according to the direction of movement, not given by you, but imposed on you, and try to find the best solution to the problem. Just put it at the beginning, or even the solution will not be found. Having set a task, hold on to it with your teeth and do not let it go, as if your whole life depends on it. By the way, it depends on it. No more no less.
The strategy and tactics, in accordance with what you find as a result of analyzing your own (not world and even - not state) situation, everyone will have to work out himself. Sell a house to someone and move into an apartment. Someone will move in with their parents, although they don't really want to. Investments start selling to cover everyday expenses. Pick up children from a private school and transfer them to a public one. Vacations review. Wardrobe too. Some people temporarily stop buying new shoes every month, others not spend on coffee at Starbucks, where the price is multiplied by twenty-five for no reason.
I can offer thirty-five more options, but you will reach them with your own mind. The main thing is to start without fear and without delay. The future is vague and there is nowhere to wait for help. Proceed from this. And if you make a mistake, and in six months everything will fall into place and will happily roll further into a happy far away ... Well, you will count everything one more time and return to square one. And shoes, and vacations, and coffee ...
It will be nice to do it. It is extremely pleasant.
I think so.
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